In previous blogs I went out on a limb and made some predictions. Now, after all teams have played one game its time to review those predictions.
Group A
France, Mexico, Uruguay and hosts South Africa make up this group. I originally predicted Mexico and Uruguay would qualify from this group. All the teams in this group have 1 point after the first game as both games were ties, but I am still sticking with my original prediction.
Group B
Argentina, Greece, Nigeria and South Korea make up this group. I predicted that Argentina would likely win this group and Nigeria would qualify as runners-up. In their first games Argentina beat Nigeria 1-0 and South Korea beat Greece 2-0. Argentina should win all three games so the important game in this group will be the South Korea v Nigeria game.
Group C
Algeria, England, Slovenia, and USA make up this group. I predicted that England and the USA would qualify from this group in that order. England and the USA tied their first game 1-1, while Slovenia beat Algeria 1-0.
Group D
Australia, Germany, Ghana and Serbia make up this group. I stuck my neck out and predicted that Ghana and Serbia will qualify from the group. Well Ghana made a good start beating Serbia 1-0 in the opener, but Germany demolished Australia 4-0, so I have suspicion that my prediction will not come true.
Group E
Cameroon, Denmark, Netherlands and Japan make up this group. I predicted that the Netherlands and Cameroon would advance. The Netherlands opened with a 2-0 win against Denmark and Japan beat Cameroon 1-0, so I don’t think my prediction will come true, with Japan in the driver’s seat for the second place.
Group F
Italy, New Zealand, Paraguay and Slovakia make up this group. I predicted Italy and Paraguay would qualify. Italy and Paraguay opened with a 1-1 tie, as did Slovakia and New Zealand.
Group G
Brazil, Ivory Coast, North Korea and Portugal make up this group. I predicted Brazil should win the group but the runner-up is a crap-shoot between Portugal and the Ivory Coast. In their first game Brazil beat North Korea 2-1 and Portugal and the Ivory Coast was a 0-0 tie, which leaves this group poised for some interesting games.
Group H
Chile, Honduras, Spain and Switzerland make up this group. I predicted that Spain would win this Group but that the runner-up was a crap-shoot. Well, Spain lost their opening game 1-0 to Switzerland, while Chile beat Honduras by the same score, which leaves Switzerland in a strong position, but means Spain has to win both their remaining games to guarantee advancing.
The biggest surprise of this round of games was Spain’s loss to Switzerland. Before Euro 2008 Spain were a perennial underachiever, but their win in Euro 2008 followed by winning all 10 of their qualifying games lulled everybody into thinking that they had beaten that jinx. Losing to Switzerland indicates that maybe they have not completely solved that problem – the next round of games will be critical in their campaign.
None of the other “favorites” lost although England, Italy and France all had disappointing draws, while Argentina, Brazil and Germany all won fairly comfortably.
There was a disappointing lack of goals, but hopefully now everyone has their first game under their belts the competition will pick up.
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